Oklahoma City Thunder Vs. Golden State Warriors December 2, 2025 NBA Betting Predictions, Picks and Parlays

The New Dynasty vs. The Old Guard’s Ghost

The Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors, and man, this isn't the matchup it used to be. Not even close. The Thunder aren't just good; they are an absolute wagon, the defending champs, sitting at a ridiculous 20-1 record right now. It's the kind of start that makes you think about the '96 Bulls or the '16 Warriors—historic. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is playing MVP ball, Chet Holmgren is a DPOY candidate as a sophomore, and the whole crew just flows. They've got the best defense in the league, the stats are actually absurd, and they just keep winning. They don’t even break a sweat.

The Warriors? They’re clinging on for dear life at 11-10, and it gets worse. Their season is officially on life support because the GOAT shooter, Steph Curry, is out. Quad contusion, sidelined for the foreseeable future. That’s the entire offensive system gone. To make matters even more dire, Jimmy Butler, who they brought in to stabilize things, is questionable with a left glute contusion after a scary fall a couple nights ago. 

You lose Curry and potentially Butler against the best team in the world? That’s a wrap. Draymond Green, the other old-head of the dynasty, is listed as probable with a mid-foot sprain, but who is he passing to? Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski are solid young players, but they aren't carrying this load. The Warriors did manage to beat the Pelicans recently, but that was a struggle, a grind, and they got lucky. They’ve split the season series with OKC so far, which is a testament to the Warriors' pride, but those games were with a healthy Curry. Tonight feels different, like a passing of the torch, or maybe more like a funeral for the dynasty’s final hopes.

Betting Picks & Predictions

The oddsmakers are basically giving up on the home team. The Thunder are monster 11.5-point favorites, with a moneyline of -625 that tells the whole story—no one wants to touch the Warriors for an outright win. OKC is only 10-11 against the spread this year, oddly enough, which suggests that even though they win, the lines are often inflated just enough. 

The Warriors, also 10-11 ATS, have struggled at home against the number. But here’s the thing: without Curry and with Butler possibly out, the Warriors are missing 50 points of offense, easy. The Thunder have the defense to absolutely smother whatever is left of the Golden State attack. OKC has shown a tendency to throttle weaker teams, and this is a gutted, limping Warriors squad. The Thunder roll hard tonight. Prediction: Give me OKC to cover that big spread, easily.