Las Vegas Raiders Vs. Denver Broncos Week 14 NFL Betting Predictions, Picks and Parlays

Mile High Playoff Dreams Meet Division Punching Bag

A Week 14 win over the Las Vegas Raiders would put the Denver Broncos firmly in control of their playoff path, and maybe even set them up for the AFC's number one seed... no joke. This game, deep in the desert, is about way more than just a division sweep for the 10-2 Broncos. It's about securing a massive, critical tiebreaker over the 11-2 Patriots.

The Pats are on a bye, so a Denver win pulls them even in the win column. Crucially, a victory in Vegas guarantees the Broncos own the head-to-head tiebreaker based on common opponents. The Patriots already lost to the Raiders earlier this year. If Denver pulls this off, they guarantee a better record against that shared group of teams, meaning if they finish the season tied with New England, Denver snags the higher seed. That's huge. The narrative on the Broncos, especially since their ugly 10-7 win over the Raiders just a few weeks ago, has completely changed. They’re riding a long winning streak now, fueled by a relentless defense and second-year QB Bo Nix playing with a ton of poise.

The Raiders, meanwhile, are just trying to find a pulse at 2-10. Their offense is a mess. Geno Smith is regressing hard, and that offensive line is one of the worst in the league at protecting the passer. Denver's defensive line, led by Nik Bonitto, is playing out of its mind, piling up an NFL-high number of sacks and leading to the Raiders' low passing percentages and low yardage totals. 

Vegas's only hope seems to be that Denver's run defense is actually a weak spot—ranked 31st in adjusted yards per carry—but will the Raiders even have the chance to commit to the run when they’re likely playing from behind all day? It's a true mismatch of a contender against a bottom-dweller, and a win means so much more than just a checkmark in the column for Denver.

Betting Picks & Predictions

The Denver Broncos are heavy 8.5-point favorites for this Week 14 tilt, a significant shift from the narrow spread of their earlier, defensive-battle win. The moneyline is a staggering -418 for Denver. The books are saying this is a virtual lock, and honestly, it’s hard to argue. The Broncos defense is too good, and the Raiders offense is too broken, especially when their offensive line faces that Denver pass rush. 

The fact that Vegas's offense is projected to lean heavily on the pass—fourth-highest pass frequency on the slate this week—despite their protection issues, just screams turnovers and sacks. The total is set low, around 40.5, reflecting that defensive dominance. Prediction: Broncos cover the spread and steamroll the Raiders, 27-10.