How to bet on NBA basketball?

 

An Ariel Rot song says: "I have style, but I'm a bad player" and I think that pretty much sums up the general idea of ​​those who dare to bet on the NBA without enough information.

 

And the world is full of people with a lot of "swing", "a lot of style", but "bad players", and in the betting world, the NBA magnifies it a lot.

 

That is to say; doing a simile with a phrase that my basketball coach always used to say, “I don't want you to shoot from the 3 line, you have to work out the play and find the best option. From 3 we will always be able to shoot ”.

 

Extrapolated to the NBA, it would be  “Guys, bets and games will never be lacking, but in this market you have to select very well and develop the play. Don't worry, when you want to bet, you can always do it. Make sure you select it well and with the necessary patience ” .

 

And he was right, in the NBA, as in a basketball game, there are always going to be bets to make, many business opportunities, but also many traps and temptations.

 

How to avoid pitfalls and take advantage of opportunities?

 

We try to help you on this arduous path with 10 fundamental tips for betting on the NBA .

 

1 - There are no reliable advantages

 

I want to start this decalogue with this section because, following another point that we will read later, "any team can beat anyone" in the NBA as well as in basketball or sports in general, there are no reliable advantages and they do not always happen things as they should. Do not trust the handicaps - later we will explain what it is - proposed by the bookmakers and avoid them is advice that will pay off in the long run.

 

First of all, it is necessary to understand that the main markets in an NBA game are "Winner of the game" , "Advantage for which they will do it" and "total points" that will be in the game. Well, that section that refers to the advantage by which a team will win or not lose by "x" points, is called "Asian handicap" "handicap" or "spread" - the nomenclature can vary from one bookmaker or another - and it is defined in short in a number proposed by the houses that indicate by the points that they believe that the game will finish .

 

To understand this line proposed by the bookmakers, all you have to do is add or subtract the proposed handicap from the final result and if your selected team still wins, the bet will be yours .

 

o understand it better in this case, if you bet on (-10.5) Miami, you are betting that Miami will win the match by (11 points or more difference) and on the contrary if your decision is (+10.5 to Philadelphia) the result for you to win must be that the Sixers do NOT lose more than 10 points. Easy right?

 

In general, it is a market proposed by the bookmaker at odds between 1.83 and 1.90 and it is not a bad market , as it offers interesting opportunities - especially in additional handicaps - which are higher or lower lines with better odds. , than the proposal officially, but not all houses offer. Even so, respecting it and staying away from it and not using it systematically is the smartest option, due to the high commission it generates for us - we'll talk about it later.

 

2 - Don't be systematic

 

This section is linked with money management, with the selection of bets and with your action plan when betting. The sport is variable and the NBA much more. The systems don't work . You can read a lot out there but the truth is that there is nothing that will make you win comfortably. The bookmakers tend to adjust very well - some better than others - and it is very difficult to obtain results with statistical, systematic or by odds methods. Learning to bet wisely, with a plan behind it, a lot of patience and perseverance will make you win. The miracle system does not exist and only you, your knowledge and your strategy that you work day by day will make you win in the long term. Anyone is capable of being a winner and any strategy can be good, but adapting to the terrain, being objective, patient, very sensible and consistent, you will get benefits. Don't be systematic, be human.

 

3 - Learn to win, losing

 

It is one of the most accurate truths in this betting and that is linked to a philosophy of life that is widely defended in the world and life in general. Learning from mistakes is also a maxim for those who want to dedicate themselves to sports betting and learn how to win, losing is essential. Defeat teaches much more than victories . They are remembered for much longer and much more time is spent on frustrations and mistakes than on victories. Not obsessing over them is vital, but learning and not making the same mistakes againIn the future, it is essential for any bettor. Learning how to win by losing is one of the most practical methods of winning at bets. Sooner or later you will lose, so learning from it and not repeating past mistakes will be the path that guides you to success.

 

4 - Bookmakers are a business. Remember it!

 

This point is as obvious as it is necessary to analyze. The counterpart bookmakers are a business - very productive, too - and they are designed to make money at the expense of bettors, we all know that. Truth? But in reality their business is not so tied to the concept: "you lose, they win" and let me explain.

 

To bet with better criteria and a broad knowledge of where you are, the fundamental thing is to understand how the bookmaker business works and how it makes money. The truth is that bettors are losing money or "not winning" at all times, the bookmakers are making money regardless of what happens in the game . To understand this, you have to know a very simple concept that goes unnoticed called "payout", that is to say: "all the money that the bookmakers return to the bettor based on their odds"  

 

We explain ourselves, we will use the handicap lines above with that (-10.5 or +10.5) and its odds 1.90. If we bet € 50 on each side, they would return € 95, that is, 95% so the payout and therefore the commission of that market is 5%. The idyllic setting would be for that payout to be above 100%; but obviously, it is an unreal circumstance.

 

Really understanding that 5% is money is an implicit commission of the bookmakers, it is what later helps you to bet better and with better criteria and why the systems have little travel.

 

That is to say, in this case the phrase "bank always wins" can be applied since they offer some fees to lose money whatever happens in the game, in our hand it is to fall into its framework or try to select very well where we bet and why, to turn that trap into an opportunity.

 

5 - Know the market

 

Knowing about a competition does not guarantee success, but it lays the foundations and foundations of our strategy to make the investment that we have considered making at a given moment.

 

I would never put money at stake, no matter how small the amount, if first I did not feel that in the market where I am going to try to win, I have reached a high level of dominance.

 

How can it be that in a sport where the objective is to put one more basket than the opposite, with 12 players managed by a coach, it can become so complex?

 

You can add variants to the equation until it is practically indecipherable. 82 games in 5 months conditions everything. Individual talent or group management is essential to solve situations that take the team to the extreme. How do you analyze a fourth game of a team in 7 days?

 

The passion for a different league, where you train almost the same on the parquet as on a plane, crossing the country day in and day out, with its own rules, makes the best basketball league in the world loved, but also hated . Full of contrasts, and that diversification of styles, makes the attraction inevitable.

 

6 - Any team can beat anyone

 

Never ever take anything for granted. The best team can lose to the worst. Motivation is a factor to take into account. It is impossible to stay focused in each game, knowing and feeling superior to your rival, who of course has arguments to complicate your life. It is not the same to play a game in October than in March. And yes, teams do their math too, because finishing second or third in the conference can condition your path to the playoff title. So be careful; there are factors that escape and only an extraordinary follow-up of the league can help you get closer to the solution of our equation.

 

He understands tanking as a minority and exceptional phenomenon. We do not know what the real thinking of each executive or general manager is, which leads us to the fact that the information provided by reliable sources is mandatory.

 

7 - Create a reliable source file 

 

Specialized journalists with years of experience write daily. Marc Stein, Brian Windhorst, Adrian Wojnarowski, Ken Berger, Zach Lowe, Tom Haberstroh ... And of course, of us, Gonzalo Vázquez, Antoni Daimiel, Alberto de Roa and our NBA section of course :) ...

 

Within the daily queries are the statistics pages. Beware of them . Without content they are empty of meaning. The sense of numbers will be given by watching games.

 

Reading that a certain player is more efficient facing a team with a specific defense and players, it is possible. You have the number in your hand, but now go and check it out. Enjoy that game knowing that you know what is going to happen. Do not look at the ball, look for that data, the number. Understand what is happening.

 

Do not be tempted and bet because you were the one who went to the betting house and not the other way around.

 

Basketball is a wonderful, exciting and hectic sport. The NBA exploits it and serves it full of spectacle. Flee the cliché that he does not defend himself here, that they are only dunks and plugs. It's what they want you to believe. Highlights are not a reflection of the competition. The bookmakers encourage statistics, that you stay in the superficial.

 

I invite you to try, to enjoy and look for that moment to understand.

 

8 - Patience, perseverance and common sense

 

They say that "patience is the mother of science" and the truth is that there is no better virtue than that for an NBA bettor. It is essential to have this virtue to generate profitability in a market like the NBA. As we have explained before, the temptations and traps are far more abundant than the opportunities. Knowing how to differentiate them has a lot to do with the patience, perseverance and common sense that we demonstrate along the way.

 

It may seem obvious, but knowing when to act and not rush is one of the most important psychological values ​​in this activity. Do not rush and understand this as a long-term investment will make you see the daily games in a different way. As we have said before, games to bet you are going to have every day, do not get obsessed and look for your opportunity. Common sense, managing your money and a good dose of self-control and planning is essential. The basic rule for any NBA bettor should be like that of any GM in command of his franchise: "Get as healthy as possible to April" where the fight for the title is decided. There will come your moment.

 

9 - Control your pocket

 

Betting and its management should be closely linked to long-term planning. The NBA is no exception and the immense number of games that there are per day, totally contrary to what you might think, means that there are many possibilities that your money will disappear quickly from your power. As we have said before, apart from patience and good work during the year, there is a really important part that will determine your success or failure: "Managing your money"

 

In that sense, there are as many valid strategies as there are losers. Knowing yourself, knowing the market, having an amount of money for leisure, that we are willing to lose, that does not serve to pay the bills, that is used for gambling and does not suppose a trauma to lose is the most solid base . Assigning daily caps for both losses and profits (between 5% and 10%) of your total bank and selecting very well is very useful to keep constant control.

 

Mental health in your development as bettors is essential; since with it you will bet with greater lucidity. Forget the bad days and don't gamble on sensitive personal moments. The mind should be as clean as possible. Your good vision will make you win.

 

10 - Average fee matters

 

And to finish as a last piece of advice, it must be said that the average fee DOES matter, much more than you think. Avoid favorite quotas per system , do not look for the easy thing and stop to think about the possibilities of the match that you think may occur. Find the value of the fee and do not obsess over a way to bet . It is clear that each of us has a different way of seeing sport, each of us observe the games from our point of view and with our arguments. That is good, but it should always be linked to the value of the fee. In that sense, at the beginning it is essential to play with the% and to sign personal probabilities to the eventsand then check them with the odds given by the bookmakers. You will learn a lot with this activity to begin to understand the concept "value of the fee" and realize that as we have been throughout the article saying "there are many traps, but there are fewer opportunities" so taking advantage of them when they appear is the differentiating factor.

 

In this sense, I recommend a learning game, to understand the value of the fees and play with it. Each game that you are going to bet is required to do a very simple mathematical exercise but that will open your mind in an extraordinary way.

 

First, let's assign a% probability to the game in question, something subjective, of what we think may happen based on our beliefs, information and context of the game.

 

Let's imagine that the match: Philadelphia vs Miami we think that there is a 20% chance that Philadelphia will win and an 80% that Miami will.

 

So we look at the odds and they are (1.16) Miami and (5.50) Philadelphia and we ask ourselves:

 

Would my prediction have value based on the market?

 

To find out, we only have to do a small operation and it is the following:

 

1 / (odds to analyze) x100 = (% of chances based on odds)

 

• 1 / 1.16X100 = 86.20% (That Miami wins)

   

• 1 / 5.50X100 = 18.18% (That Philadelphia wins)

   

Would you bet?

 

So far the ten fundamental tips to bet on the best basketball league in the world. I hope it helps you to get to know this exciting NBA betting market a little better and apply our tips to try to win. It is not an easy path, but we believe that with a solid foundation, money planning, taking it as an investment and a dose of patience and perseverance, the objectives are met.

 

For more information about money management or other questions we will be here to answer all your questions through the comments .

 

We would also love to hear about your experience in this field and thus be able to create an even larger and more effective knowledge base.

 

Thanks for reading us and always remember "NBA, Where Amazing Happens"

 

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